In the last round, Atalanta had a difficult victory against a team in the lower half of the table, Cremonese. It was not until the extra time that Gasperini's team secured the win. Nevertheless, given the strong pressure from Juventus, any win is valuable for the team from Bergamo.
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However, Atalanta is currently only a short distance away from the Top 4, so as long as they maintain their stable form until the end of the season, even a spot in the prestigious Champions League is within their reach. Moreover, Atalanta's advantage over direct competitors such as Inter, AC Milan or Roma is that they only have to focus on Serie A without being "distracted" by European competitions.In other words, if La Dea continues to miss out on the European stage next season, they will only have themselves to blame. In this round, Atalanta will play at the Gewiss Stadium and face Bologna, a team they defeated away in the first leg earlier this year. In fact, Atalanta has won 11 out of 14 recent encounters with Bologna in Serie A (losing 1).
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At home, Atalanta is also in good form, having won 3 out of the last 5 matches in the league. However, it should be noted that in the last 14 home matches against Bologna, they have only achieved a similar number of victories. But compared to the first leg, Bologna is now much more concerning for Atalanta.
Evidence: Since their loss to Atalanta, Rossoblu has earned 9 out of 11 points (winning 6) and conceded the 4th fewest goals in the league during this time. As a result, Thiago Motta's team is currently in the top half of the Serie A standings (Top 10) and is promising to make the race for the Top 6 more exciting as they will face AC Milan and Juventus within the next month, in addition to Atalanta. On the road, Bologna has only lost 1 out of their recent 5 matches in the domestic league. However, since their opponents are not easy to play against, the fact that Atalanta is giving a 3/4 handicap with an increasing trend of 1 goal can be seen as quite positive, as Atalanta's form is also better than Bologna's. Therefore, choosing Atalanta is recommended.
Analysis of Atalanta vs Bologna goal odds (2 1/2):
The Over option can be given up to a 1-goal handicap, but it is still uncertain whether the total goals will reach 2 1/2 (it could drop to 2 1/4), so it is feared that the match will have less than 2 goals. In fact, statistics also show that 6 out of Atalanta's last 9 matches and the last 3 out of 5 matches of Bologna (all in Serie A) have had few goals (under 3). Therefore, choosing Under 2 1/2 is recommended.
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Expected lineups for Atalanta vs Bologna:
Atalanta: Musso; Palomino, Scalvini, Djimsiti; Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Maehle; Pasalic; Hojlund, Zapata
Bologna: Skorupski; Posch, Lucumi, Soumaoro, Kyriakopoulos; Schouten, Dominguez; Orsolini, Ferguson, Soriano; Barrow
Prediction for Atalanta vs Bologna: 2-0